Centrist Rodrigo Paz wins Bolivia’s presidential runoff, topping right-wing rival

La Paz (Bolivia), Oct 20: Rodrigo Paz, a centrist senator who was never a nationally prominent figure until now, won Bolivia’s presidential election on Sunday, preliminary results showed, galvanizing voters outraged by the country’s economic crisis and frustrated after 20 years of rule by the Movement Toward Socialism party.

“The trend is irreversible,” Óscar Hassenteufel, the president of the Supreme Electoral Tribunal, said of Paz’s lead over his rival, former right-wing President Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga.

Paz won 54 per cent of the votes, early results showed, versus Quiroga’s 45 per cent.

“Today, Bolivia can be certain that this will be a government that will bring solutions,” he told supporters. “Bolivia breathes winds of change and renewal to move forward.”

Shortly after the results came in, Quiroga conceded to Paz.

“I’ve called Rodrigo Paz and wished him congratulations,” he said in a somber speech, prompting jeers and cries of fraud from the audience. But Quiroga urged calm, saying that a refusal to recognize the results would “leave the country hanging.”

Paz and his popular running mate, ex-police Capt. Edman Lara gained traction among working-class and rural voters disillusioned with the unbridled spending of the long-ruling Movement Toward Socialism, or MAS, party, but wary of Quiroga’s radical 180-degree turn away from its social protections.

Paz’s victory sets this South American nation of 12 million on a sharply uncertain path as he seeks to enact major change for the first time since the 2005 election of Evo Morales, the founder of MAS and Bolivia’s first Indigenous president.

Paz plans to end Bolivia’s fixed exchange rate, phase out generous fuel subsidies, and reduce hefty public investment, redrawing much of the MAS economic model that dominated for two decades. But he says he’ll maintain MAS-style benefits and take a gradual approach to free-market reforms, in hopes of avoiding a sharp recession or jump in inflation that would enrage the masses — as has happened before in Bolivia.

Paz inherits an economy in shambles

Paz’s supporters erupted into raucous cheers and ran into the streets of La Paz, setting off fireworks and honking car horns. Crowds thronged a hotel downtown where Paz spoke, some shouting, “The people, united, will never be defeated!”

“We feel victorious,” Roger Carrillo, a volunteer with Paz’s party, said by phone from eastern Bolivia, where he was rallying a celebratory caravan. “We know there is work ahead of us, but we just want to enjoy this moment.”

Vowing to avoid the IMF, Paz has pledged to scrape together the necessary cash by fighting corruption, reducing wasteful spending, and restoring enough confidence in the country’s currency to lure US dollar savings out from under Bolivians’ mattresses and into the banking system.

But Paz’s stated reluctance to slam on the fiscal brakes — with promises of cash handouts for the poor to cushion the blow of subsidy cuts — has led to criticism.

“It’s just so vague, I feel like he’s saying these things to please voters when fiscally it doesn’t add up,” said 48-year-old Rodrigo Tribeño, who voted for Quiroga on Sunday. “We needed a real change.”

An outsider with political experience

Although Paz, the son of former President Jaime Paz Zamora, who was in office from 1989 to 1993, has spent more than two decades in politics as a lawmaker and mayor, he appeared in this race as a political unknown. The senator rose unexpectedly from the bottom of the polls to a first-place finish in the August vote.

Paz’s slogan of “capitalism for all” appealed to many merchants and entrepreneurs who flourished in Morales’ heyday but later chafed against his high taxes and regulations.

“There’s an obvious class difference. For Quiroga, you have people who’ve been in politics and in the economic elite for a long time — businesspeople, agro-industrialists,” said Verónica Rocha, a Bolivian political analyst. “With Paz, it’s the opposite.”

An ex-cop shakes up the race

The race looked to be a staid affair until Paz surprised everyone by picking Lara as his running mate. The charismatic young ex-policeman had zero political experience but gained fame on TikTok after being fired from the police for denouncing corruption in viral videos.

Lara’s fiery, populist promises of universal income for women and higher pensions for retirees frequently forced Paz into damage control, causing tension on the campaign trail. But for those who see Lara as divisive and hot-headed, there are plenty of Bolivians who say those traits connote authenticity in comparison to the other scripted, telegenic candidates.

Lara struck an unusually conciliatory tone in his remarks after winning Sunday.

“It’s time to unite, it’s time to reconcile,” Lara told supporters after learning of his win, taking a more conciliatory tone than usual. “Political divisions are over.”

Many Bolivians interviewed on Sunday said they voted for Lara as if he were at the top of the ticket.

“Lara is the one acting more like a president than Paz. Many of us think Lara will end up running the country,” said Wendy Cornejo, 28, a former Morales supporter selling crackers in downtown La Paz. (AP)

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